The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Escobedo 27.1%
Draw 29.9%
Real Avilés 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
27.9%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
27%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escobedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escobedo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Escobedo - Real Avilés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Gandarillas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).
Escobedo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Real Avilés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real Avilés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Real Avilés will have a poor advantage in this game.