The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Escuela Municipal Binacional 31.1%
Draw 28.4%
Sporting Cristal 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
25.3%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
24.5%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Escuela Municipal Binacional's performance.
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Cristal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Escuela Municipal Binacional that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Cristal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Silva F. (G) 7. Carranza J. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 2. Rodriguez N. 29. Loyola N. 6. Mifflin L. 80. Medina F. 14. Rasmussen M. 88. Aubert E. (C) 20. Torres M. 9. Rodriguez L.
1. Enriquez D. (G) 96. Abram L. 2. Ballumbrosio D. 5. Lutiger R. 29. Posito Olazabal A. J. 6. Pretell J. 25. Tavara M. 19. Yotun Y. 10. Gonzales C. 24. Pacheco F. 7. Gonzalez S.
Substitutes
17. Aldo Olaya 24. Ayqque J. 55. Duclos F. 22. Flores F. 13. Gutierrez A. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 38. Perez C. 5. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 10. Torres R.
18. Cabellos A. 77. Cabellos C. 39. Caparo H. 23. Castro M. 13. Duarte A. (G) 40. Moretti J. 28. Pasquini N. 97. Rodriguez M. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Bustamante C.
Autuori P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Pacheco F. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Posito Olazabal A. J. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
20', Perez Ochoa C. A. 🟨,
21', 0 - 3, Tavara M. ⚽,
25', Ballumbrosio D. 🟨,
30', Rodriguez N. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ballumbrosio D. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
46', Medina F. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Torres R. ⚽,
62', Aubert E. 🟥,
69', Loyola N. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
72', Torres R. 🟨,
74', Yotun Y. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
74', Gonzales C. ↓, Cabellos C. ↑,
75', Pacheco F. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
82', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
90+2', Tavara M. ↓, Pasquini N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 0.
Binacional has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sporting Cristal is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sporting Cristal might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 1.1:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Binacional won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.6:2.5).
Mexico
Peru
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Silva F. (G) 
Carranza J. 
Perez Ochoa C. A. 
Medina F. 
Gonzalez S. 
Autuori P. 
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