Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Briceno Rosamedina (Juliaca)


	Escuela Municipal Binacional		Alianza Atlético

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.5	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	2.18	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.13	3.1	3.72
	1.01	1.00	1.00	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	2.3	3.37	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.29)	2.92 ↓ (3.47)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escuela Municipal Binacional
43.2%

Draw
29.1%

Alianza Atlético
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.1%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escuela Municipal Binacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Binacional: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Binacional (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva F. (G) 14. Rasmussen M. 29. Loyola N. 32. Perez Ochoa C. A. 13. Gutierrez A. 7. Carranza J. 6. Mifflin L. 88. Aubert E. (C) 22. Flores F. 9. Rodriguez L. 20. Torres M.	1. Melian D. (C) 30. Guzman P. 4. Villegas J. C. 16. Fernandez S. 3. Vasquez C. 22. Ysique F. 20. Perez J. 15. Lupu H. 24. Gordillo A. 29. Graneros A. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A.
Substitutes
17. Aldo Olaya 24. Ayqque J. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 3. Montufar R. 38. Perez C. 5. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 2. Rodriguez N. 10. Torres R.	13. Benincasa H. 7. Castro R. 17. del Castillo J. 27. Diaz R. 9. Espinosa R. 8. Illanes F. 23. Olmedo L. 21. Perleche E. 95. Prieto D. (G)
Coaches
Bustamante C.	Ameli G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Fernandez S. 🟥,
14', 1 - 0, Rasmussen M. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Flores F. ⚽, Rodriguez L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lupu H. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
46', Vasquez C. ↓, Perleche E. ↑,
48', Gutierrez A. 🟨,
58', Loyola N. ↓, Aldo Olaya ↑,
58', Gutierrez A. ↓, Ayqque J. ↑,
67', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑,
67', Perez J. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
81', Ysique F. ↓, Illanes F. ↑,
81', Rasmussen M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
81', Flores F. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez L. ↓, Montufar R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Binacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Binacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escuela Municipal Binacional
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.25	Cusco - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0 ✺
25.07.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Alianza Lima - Escuela Municipal Binacional	5:1 ✺
27.06.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTTLW
- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.25	Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Alianza Atlético - Sport Boys	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.25	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	4:1
19.09.23	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0
30.04.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético	4:2
05.09.22	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Alianza Atlético	2:0
15.04.22	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:0
04.08.21	Alianza Atlético - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:3

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