The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Escuela Municipal Binacional 18.2%
Draw 25.2%
FBC Melgar 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
27.9%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
26.8%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Escuela Municipal Binacional's form might have worsened.
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FBC Melgar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Escuela Municipal Binacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FBC Melgar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
18.7%
68.7%
Escuela Municipal Binacional - FBC Melgar Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Binacional will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Melgar will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 50.9% – 95.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Melgar (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FBC Melgar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Melgar (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Azurin A. (G) 7. Carranza J. 15. Leon B. 2. Rodriguez N. 38. Perez C. 88. Aubert E. 22. Flores F. 14. Rasmussen M. 13. Gutierrez A. 10. Torres R. 20. Torres M.
12. Caceda C. (G) 2. Barrios P. 15. Orzan H. 6. Gonzalez L. 13. Llontop M. 24. Tandazo W. 28. Arias A. 7. Bordacahar C. 8. Guzman L. 26. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 9. Cuesta B.
Substitutes
11. Chavez D. 6. Duque L. 25. Meza C. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 3. Montufar R. 16. Revilla J. 8. Tello Y.
25. Barreda M. 27. Cabanillas N. 21. Cabezudo J. (G) 5. Deneumostier A. 33. Lazo M. 17. Liza P. 10. Martinez T. 4. Ramos E. 19. Rodriguez G.
Coaches
Bustamante C.
Ribonetto W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Perez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arias A. ↓, Lazo M. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Rasmussen M. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
61', Guzman L. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
61', Barrios P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
63', Rasmussen M. 🟨,
66', Torres R. 🟨,
72', Perez C. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
72', Torres R. ↓, Duque L. ↑,
72', Rasmussen M. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
73', Llontop M. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
76', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Barreda M. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Liza P. ⚽, Cabanillas N. (A),
90+5', Flores F. ↓, Tello Y. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 0.
Binacional is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Binacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Melgar is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Binacional won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Binacional won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1.3:2.5).
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Azurin A. (G) 
Rodriguez N. 
Torres R. 
Barrios P. 
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