Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 27

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Espérance ST		Sfaxien

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	4.8
	1.85	2.98	4.25
	1.82	3.09	5.04
	1.84	2.97	4.83	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.78	3.02	4.81
	1.71	3.05	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)	3.04 ↓ (3.05)	4.72 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espérance ST
51.1%

Draw
29.7%

Sfaxien
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

29.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espérance ST has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sfaxien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Espérance ST - Sfaxien Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Espérance ST will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Memmiche A. (G) 2. Ben Ali M. 20. Ben Hamida M. (C) 7. Boualia K. 22. Danho F. 28. Hmidhi A. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 14. Ogbelu O. 24. Rafia H. 15. Tougai M.	30. Dahmen A. (G) 21. Baccar H. 9. Ben Ali O. 13. Derbali R. 4. Habchia Y. 10. Maaloul A. (C) 24. Mathlouthi H. 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 18. Ogbole E. 32. Ouedraogo H. 33. Trabelsi M.
Substitutes
25. Bouzaiene E. 26. Debchi M. (G) 17. Dhaou H. 18. Haj Ali M. 21. Konate A. 12. Laifi N. 5. Meriah Y. 8. Tka H. 10. Yan Sasse	5. Akid A. 28. Chaaben R. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 19. Karoui N. 17. Mhadhebi M. S. 12. Mutyaba T. 7. Onana W. 25. Sekkouhi F. 6. Taifour A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Tougai M. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 3.

Espérance ST is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sfaxien is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Espérance ST may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Espérance ST is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 0.9:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Esperance Tunis	4	3	0	1	7:6	1	9
4	CS Sfaxien	4	2	2	0	6:3	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
26.04.26	Bizertin - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
23.04.26	Espérance ST - Zarzis	2:2 ✺
CAF Champions League
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
04.04.26	Étoile du Sahel - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TTLLT
- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
26.04.26	Sfaxien - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Sfaxien - Jendouba Sport	2:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
12.04.26	Soliman - Sfaxien	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Sfaxien - JS Kairouan	3:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
22.03.26	JS Kairouan - Sfaxien	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.11.25	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	1:2
03.05.25	Espérance ST - Sfaxien	1:0
29.12.24	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:1
20.06.24	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:0
01.05.24	Espérance ST - Sfaxien	1:1
27.12.23	Espérance ST - Sfaxien	1:0
24.09.23	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:1

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