Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 21

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Espanyol		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	6	Watch
	1.61	3.5	5.25
	1.63	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.93	6.03
	1.65	3.8	6.2
	1.57	3.7	5.5
	1.63	3.72	5.55	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	3.68 ↓ (3.81)	5.7 ↑ (5.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
58%

Draw
25.5%

Burgos
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

24.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.1%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Burgos have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	3.2%	9.7%

Espanyol - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pacheco F. (G) 31. El Hilali O. 3. Gomez S. 5. Calero F. 14. Olivan B. 20. Exposito 18. Aguado A. 8. Bare K. 7. Puado J. 22. Braithwaite M. 11. Milla P.	13. Caro J. (G) 6. Navarro R. 18. Aitor Cordoba 20. Sierra G. 8. Martin A. 12. Appin K. 14. Elgezabal U. 5. Atienza M. 10. Bermejo A. 16. Curro 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D.
Substitutes
9. Balde K. 33. Fortuno A. (G) 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gil O. 17. Jofre 36. Jose Luis Catala Vazquez 27. Martinez R. 26. Puig J. 12. Ramon 34. Sadik O. 19. Sanchez S.	11. Alex 17. Andy 1. Badiashile L. (G) 2. Gonzalez B. 27. Lopez J. 22. Munoz M. 7. Ojeda D. 26. Rodriguez S. (G)
Coaches
Ramis L. M.	Bolo

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Recent matches Espanyol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Espanyol is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Espanyol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
16.12.23	FC Andorra - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Espanyol - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.23	Espanyol - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.23	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Espanyol - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.12.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:3 ✺
09.12.23	Burgos - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Arenteiro - Burgos	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Amorebieta - Burgos	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Burgos - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Burgos - Espanyol	0:2

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