Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Amorebieta		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.6
	2.85	3	2.6	Watch
	3.03	2.96	2.79
	3.03	2.96	2.79
	2.92	3.04	2.56	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.59)	2.97 ↓ (3.09)	2.67 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
32.7%

Draw
31.9%

Burgos
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

31.6%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	62.5%	18.7%

Amorebieta - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 24. Gaya J. 4. Manu 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 20. Sibo K. 8. Moran E. 16. Lasure D. 19. Aviles J. 22. Morcillo J.	13. Caro J. (G) 2. Gonzalez B. 18. Aitor Cordoba 20. Sierra G. 23. Matos Jose 22. Munoz M. 14. Elgezabal U. 11. Alex 16. Curro 7. Ojeda D. 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
21. Carbonell A. 29. Da Graca C. M. 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 3. Etxeita X. 9. Jauregi E. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 2. Mier J. 27. Quintero L. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I.	17. Andy 12. Appin K. 5. Atienza M. 1. Badiashile L. (G) 10. Bermejo A. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 27. Lopez J. 8. Martin A. 6. Navarro R.
Coaches
Mujika H.	Bolo

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 2.

Amorebieta is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Burgos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.23	Elche - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Amorebieta - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Sporting de Gijón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Amorebieta - Huesca	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Eldense - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTLL
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
25.11.23	Burgos - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ferrol - Burgos	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Burgos - Alcorcón	4:2 ✺
05.11.23	Eldense - Burgos	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Hércules - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.07.23	Burgos - Amorebieta	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
31.12.21	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2
11.09.21	Amorebieta - Burgos	2:2
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Amorebieta - Burgos	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.10.19	Burgos - Amorebieta	1:2
06.05.18	Burgos - Amorebieta	0:0
09.12.17	Amorebieta - Burgos	1:0

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