Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - PROMOTION PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Espanyol B		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.7
	2.35	3.05	2.85
	2.52	2.99	2.89
	2.3	2.88	2.9
	2.39	3.16	2.94
	2.43	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.7)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.85 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol B
38%

Draw
30.1%

Atlético Madrid B
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Madrid B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol B than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Madrid B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Espanyol B - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Espanyol B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espanyol B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
14.05.23	Espanyol B - Lleida	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Terrassa - Espanyol B	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Espanyol B - Manresa	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Formentera - Espanyol B	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Espanyol B - Peña Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLTW
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.05.23	Estepona - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	Atlético Madrid B - Leganés B	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

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