Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 34

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Estepona		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.75	3.15	1.9
	3.89	3.26	1.97
	3.64	3.38	1.94
	3.45	3.4	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.94)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	1.94 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
25.2%

Draw
27.8%

Atlético Madrid B
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

29.1%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estepona's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estepona - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Estepona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Madrid B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético Madrid B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.05.23	Unión Adarve - Estepona	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Estepona - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Socuéllamos - Estepona	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Estepona - Diocesano	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Cacereño - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLT
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.05.23	Atlético Madrid B - Leganés B	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Unión Adarve	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	CD Guadalajara - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Atlético Madrid B - Socuéllamos	3:0 ✺
09.04.23	Diocesano - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.23	Atlético Madrid B - Estepona	1:0

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