Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday


	Espeleño		Sevilla C

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	2.95
	3.3	3.4	2
	2.96	3.39	2.08
	2.99	3.42	2.09
	3.07	3.44	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.16)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	2.22 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espeleño
31.3%

Draw
27.2%

Sevilla C
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

28.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espeleño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Espeleño's form might have worsened.

Sevilla C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sevilla C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espeleño than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Espeleño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla C than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sevilla C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Espeleño - Sevilla C Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Espeleño will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sevilla C will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Romero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Montenegro M. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Espeleño will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Espeleño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Espeleño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Espeleño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.24	Espeleño - Gerena	1:3 ✺
20.04.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Espeleño - Ayamonte	3:2 ✺
07.04.24	Coria CF - Espeleño	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Espeleño - La Palma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Sevilla FC C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.24	Sevilla C - Pozoblanco	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Gerena - Sevilla C	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Sevilla C - Utrera	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Ciudad de Lucena - Sevilla C	0:1 ✺
27.03.24	Sevilla C - Conil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.12.23	Sevilla C - Espeleño	0:2
28.01.23	Sevilla C - Espeleño	3:0
02.10.22	Espeleño - Sevilla C	0:1
28.02.19	Espeleño - Sevilla C	1:2
21.10.18	Sevilla C - Espeleño	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
07.01.18	Sevilla C - Espeleño	2:0

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