The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional de Patos 18.1%
Draw 25.3%
Treze 56.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
28.1%
35.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
28.9%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional de Patos's form might have worsened.
Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treze's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional de Patos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-22.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Treze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Nacional de Patos - Treze Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Treze will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Edu (G) 3. Andre Santos (C) 6. Caique 11. Daniel Alagoano 26. Gean 17. Itallo Melo 29. Kaio Henrique 5. Lencina K. 2. Luis Felipe 27. Robinho 9. Vitor Alagoano
72. Igor Rayan (C) 6. Arthurzinho 10. Dione 7. Dudu 4. Gomes 5. Juninho 8. Karl 11. Rafael Ibiapino 19. Schutz 3. Tiago Barbosa 2. Van
Substitutes
8. Beckham 23. Chinha 4. Danilo Antonio 15. David Goiana 13. Deivao 20. Filho L. 21. Gabriel Rocha 19. Mikael 22. Thawan (G) 1. Tiago Indio (G)
12. Andrade (G) 23. Daniel Mazerochi 16. Guilherme Lucena 9. Jeam 17. Lincoln 20. Manu 1. Marcos (G) 14. Matheus Gomes 18. Pablo 22. Pedro Rodrigues 21. Pedro Silva
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Dione ⚽,
22', Arthurzinho ↓, Manu ↑,
38', 0 - 2, Schutz ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, Rafael Ibiapino ⚽,
45+3', Vitor Alagoano 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kaio Henrique ↓, Danilo Antonio ↑,
46', Robinho ↓, Gabriel Rocha ↑,
46', Edu ↓, Tiago Indio ↑,
46', Dione ↓, Pedro Rodrigues ↑,
65', 🟨,
66', Dudu ↓, Daniel Mazerochi ↑,
66', Karl ↓, Lincoln ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Gean ⚽,
70', Lencina K. ↓, Beckham ↑,
72', Pedro Rodrigues 🟨,
76', Gomes 🟨,
77', Schutz ↓, Jeam ↑,
79', Lincoln 🟨,
83', Luis Felipe ↓, Chinha ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, Daniel Mazerochi ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 3.
Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Treze is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nacional de Patos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Nacional de Patos have a series of guest games.
Recently Treze have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Nacional de Patos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Nacional de Patos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.2:0.2).
Watch
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Edu (G) 
Lencina K. 
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