Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho 2 - Round 13

Date: 7 July 2024, Sunday


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		EC Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.46	3.49
	1.95	3.28	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	3.35 ↓ (3.4)	3.52 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
47.2%

Draw
27.1%

EC Cruzeiro
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

EC Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - EC Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Theobald C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Ramon ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

EC Cruzeiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
03.07.24	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Veranopolis	1:1 ✺
30.06.24	Frederiquense - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - GE Glória	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Passo Fundo	1:3 ✺
19.06.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLLL
- EC Cruzeiro
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
03.07.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - EC Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	EC Cruzeiro - Veranopolis	0:1 ✺
23.06.24	GE Glória - EC Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
19.06.24	EC Cruzeiro - Frederiquense	0:2 ✺
15.06.24	Gaúcho - EC Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
21.04.24	EC Cruzeiro - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:1
28.05.22	EC Cruzeiro - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0
27.04.22	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - EC Cruzeiro	2:0

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