Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Imam Khomeini (Arak)


	Aluminium Arak		Mes Rafsanjan

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.38	3.85
	2.27	2.39	3.8
	2.55	2.70	3.18	Watch
	2.43	2.38	4.04	Watch
	2.55	2.65	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.55)	2.5 ↓ (2.7)	3.62 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aluminium Arak
37.7%

Draw
36.9%

Mes Rafsanjan
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

34.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

33.8%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aluminium Arak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mes Rafsanjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mes Rafsanjan than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aluminium Arak (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Mes Rafsanjan (4.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aluminium Arak (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Mes Rafsanjan (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Khalifeh M. (G) 2. Goudarzi B. 4. Houshmand A. 41. Jorjani Y. 26. Norouzifard B. 9. Mehdipour M. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 13. Mahdavi M. 80. Kahrizi A. 78. Jafari R. 18. Ghanbari A.	44. Mirzazad N. (G) 21. Jahanbakhsh D. 27. Kurdic N. 2. Sedghi A. 34. Fakhreddini M. 77. Mehanovic M. 6. Zendehrouh A. 20. Naghizadeh A. 22. Matheus Costa 26. Ramezani A. 11. Sharifi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aluminium Arak won 0.

Aluminium Arak is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mes Rafsanjan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aluminium Arak could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aluminium Arak won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:23. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aluminium Arak won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.7:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
18.10.25	Paykan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Aluminium Arak - Shams Azar Qazvin	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Zob Ahan - Aluminium Arak	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Tractor Sazi - Aluminium Arak	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWL
- Mes Rafsanjan
Iran Pro League
17.10.25	Esteghlal - Mes Rafsanjan	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Paykan	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Zob Ahan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
02.02.25	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	0:0
29.08.24	Mes Rafsanjan - Aluminium Arak	3:1
Iran Hazfi Cup
15.06.24	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	1:2 penalties
Iran Pro League
13.03.24	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	1:3
21.09.23	Mes Rafsanjan - Aluminium Arak	2:0
07.02.23	Aluminium Arak - Mes Rafsanjan	2:1
31.08.22	Mes Rafsanjan - Aluminium Arak	0:0

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