Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Estepona		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.13	3.1	3.55
	2.11	3.14	3.40	Watch
	2.12	3.04	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.07)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
43.3%

Draw
29.7%

Antoniano
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Antoniano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Estepona - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Arreola A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 1 - 1, Ballarin D. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Revuelta A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Estepona is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Antoniano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Antoniano has had a series of home games.

Estepona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Antoniano will win today's game, with odds of 3.79.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estepona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Estepona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	CD Extremadura - Estepona	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Estepona - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Antoniano - Puente Genil	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Antoniano - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Antoniano - Melilla	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Antoniano - CD Extremadura	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.04.25	Estepona - Antoniano	1:3
24.11.24	Antoniano - Estepona	2:1
21.04.24	Antoniano - Estepona	0:0
10.12.23	Estepona - Antoniano	3:0

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