Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Estepona		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.15	3.2
	2.10	3.26	3.22	Watch
	2.08	3.13	3.35
	2.06	3.22	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.1)	3.19 ↓ (3.26)	3.27 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
43.8%

Draw
28.5%

Lorca Deportiva
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.4%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Estepona - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estepona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Castedo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 1 - 1, Acevedo J. ⚽,
50', 1 - 2, Ibanez W. ⚽,
65', 1 - 3, Naranjo J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Estepona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lorca Deportiva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lorca Deportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Estepona could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Estepona - Málaga	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWTLT

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