Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Jaén		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.82	3.6
	2.06	3.05	3.89
	2.03	3.07	3.73	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.6
	2.05	3.42	3.47
	2	2.9	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.02)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	3.72 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
44.7%

Draw
30.5%

Estepona
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.8%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Real Jaén - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Jaén is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Estepona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaén might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Jaén won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.01.26	Almeria B - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	CD Extremadura - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Real Jaén - Atlético Malagueño	3:0 ✺
21.12.25	Águilas - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWTWT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.01.26	Estepona - Malaga B	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Recreativo Huelva - Estepona	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Estepona - Minera	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	La Unión - Estepona	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Estepona - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
06.06.21	Estepona - Real Jaén	0:1
01.05.21	Real Jaén - Estepona	1:0

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