Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Estepona		Manchego

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.75
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.68	3.36	4.79
	1.67	3.4	5.38
	1.72	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.25 (3.25)	4.8 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
53.1%

Draw
28%

Manchego
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

27.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

26.6%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Manchego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estepona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Estepona - Manchego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Estepona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manchego is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manchego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Manchego have a series of home games.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.01.24	Águilas - Estepona	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Estepona - Betis B	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	La Unión - Estepona	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Estepona - Antoniano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWW
- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
20.01.24	Manchego - Marbella	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Manchego - Águilas	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Manchego - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Betis B - Manchego	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Manchego - La Unión	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.09.23	Manchego - Estepona	1:0

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