Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Estepona		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.47	3.05	2.65
	2.54	3.06	2.85
	2.52	3.02	2.74
	2.5	3.05	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.73)	3.06 ↑ (2.98)	2.75 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
37%

Draw
29.8%

Navalcarnero
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

32.5%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estepona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estepona - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Alcorcón B - Estepona	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Estepona - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Montijo - Estepona	0:0 ✺
25.09.22	Estepona - Coria	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Don Benito - Estepona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
16.10.22	Navalcarnero - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	0:3 ✺
02.10.22	Navalcarnero - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
25.09.22	Socuéllamos - Navalcarnero	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Navalcarnero - Diocesano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWL

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