Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 27

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Estepona		Vélez

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	3.4 (3.4)	5.4 (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
56.4%

Draw
26.7%

Vélez
16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

26%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Estepona have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Vélez have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', Viana M. ⚽,
18', Perez Calvo L. (Own goal),
42', Salama R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
90', Moreno S. ⚽,
90+6', ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

Recent matches Estepona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estepona is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Estepona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.03.24	Sevilla B - Estepona	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Estepona - San Roque de Lepe	3:1 ✺
25.02.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Estepona	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Estepona - Linense	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Cadiz CF B - Estepona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWTTT
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.03.24	Vélez - Manchego	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Vélez - Yeclano Deportivo	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Betis B - Vélez	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Vélez - La Unión	0:4 ✺
04.02.24	Antoniano - Vélez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
04.11.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:1
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Vélez - Estepona	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
21.02.21	Vélez - Estepona	1:0
16.12.20	Estepona - Vélez	0:1

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