Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 15

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Benfica U23		Portimonense U23

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.35	5.7
	1.46	4.8	5.84
	1.43	4.91	5.99	Watch
	1.4	4.2	5.75
	1.49	4.3	6.03	Watch
	1.42	4.5	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	4.51 ↓ (4.7)	5.83 ↓ (6.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica U23
63.9%

Draw
20.4%

Portimonense U23
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.7%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

18.9%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Portimonense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica U23 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Benfica U23 - Portimonense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 🟥,
85', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: )).

Benfica U23 is Qualified for Liga Revelacao U23 (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica U23 won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Portimonense U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Benfica U23 is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica U23 won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:23. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica U23 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:10. (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
02.12.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Benfica U23	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Benfica U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Estoril U23 - Benfica U23	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Benfica U23 - Santa Clara U23	2:0 ✺
13.10.25	Farense U23 - Benfica U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTTWL
- Portimonense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
26.11.25	Portimonense U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	0:2 ✺
17.11.25	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Leiria U23 - Portimonense U23	1:3 ✺
29.10.25	Torreense U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Portimonense U23 - Estoril U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.09.25	Portimonense U23 - Benfica U23	1:2
10.11.24	Portimonense U23 - Benfica U23	1:1
27.08.24	Benfica U23 - Portimonense U23	5:0
12.11.23	Benfica U23 - Portimonense U23	2:2
22.08.23	Portimonense U23 - Benfica U23	0:5
17.01.23	Portimonense U23 - Benfica U23	3:3
07.11.22	Benfica U23 - Portimonense U23	1:0

Benfica U23 - Portimonense U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide