Match Info

Liga Next Gen U23 - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Estoril U23		Sporting Lisbon U23

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.35	2.55
	2.6	3.6	2.46
	2.56	3.57	2.5	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.43	3.36	2.42	Watch
	2.49	3.3	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.17)	3.41 ↑ (3.35)	2.45 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril U23
36.5%

Draw
26.6%

Sporting Lisbon U23
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

26.7%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

25.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril U23 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estoril U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril U23 won 0.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Estoril U23 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Estoril U23 has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:27 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Estoril U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.5:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estoril U23	8	4	4	0	17:12	5	16
2	Sporting CP U23	8	4	3	1	15:10	5	15

Last Results with these Odds

Estoril U23 - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.28%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
05.10.26	Torreense U23 - Estoril U23	2:3 ✺
22.09.26	Académico de Viseu U23 - Estoril U23	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Estoril U23 - Famalicão U23	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Felgueiras U23 - Estoril U23	2:2 ✺
25.08.26	Estoril U23 - Moreirense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWTW
- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
19.09.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Penafiel U23	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Leixões U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	3:4 ✺
01.09.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Benfica U23	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
01.12.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	3:2
12.09.25	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:5
16.03.25	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1
15.01.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	2:2
02.12.24	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:0
13.09.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Estoril U23	1:1
17.04.24	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1

Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide