Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Estradense		Lugo B

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.6
	1.95	3.2	3.83
	1.97	3.18	3.79
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.97	3.42	3.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.94)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.74 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estradense
46.6%

Draw
28.9%

Lugo B
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estradense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lugo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Estradense - Lugo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 12).

Estradense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Lugo B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estradense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estradense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Estradense	8	4	1	3	14:14	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Estradense - Noia	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	RC Villalbes - Estradense	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Estradense - Barbadás	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Alondras - Estradense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTWWT
- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
28.03.26	Lugo B - Céltiga	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Juventud Cambados - Lugo B	0:1 ✺
19.03.26	Lugo B - Boiro	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Barco - Lugo B	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lugo B - Compostela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Lugo B - Estradense	2:0

Estradense - Lugo B