Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Estrela da Amadora		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5.25
	1.67	3.3	4.25
	1.63	3.25	5.2
	1.68	3.44	5.97
	1.62	3.3	5.25
	1.61	3.6	5.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)	3.37 ↓ (3.46)	5.2 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
55.4%

Draw
27.1%

Real SC
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.4%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

17.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrela da Amadora's performance.

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	3.4%	6.9%

Estrela da Amadora - Real SC Predictions

Users Predictions: Estrela da Amadora will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Estrela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.21	Rabo de Peixe - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
03.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWT
- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.01.21	Real SC - Rabo de Peixe	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	Fabril do Barreiro - Real SC	0:2 ✺
10.01.21	Sporting Lisbon B - Real SC	2:1 ✺
23.12.20	Real SC - Oriental	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Real SC - Belenenses B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.10.20	Real SC - Estrela da Amadora	1:1

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