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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora U23 40%
Draw 28.3%
Vizela U23 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
26.8%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
27.9%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estrela da Amadora U23's performance.
Vizela U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vizela U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora U23 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela U23 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vizela U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Estrela da Amadora U23 - Vizela U23 Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Estrela U23 will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vizela U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
83', 3 - 0, ⚽,
86', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 1.
Estrela U23 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vizela U23's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vizela U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Vizela U23 has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estrela U23 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Estrela U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Vizela U23
6
3
1
2
8:6
2
10
18
Estrela U23
7
1
2
4
6:13
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Estrela da Amadora U23 - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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