Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)


	Leiria U23		Estrela da Amadora U23

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.82
	2.22	3.65	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.75
	2.21	3.26	2.92	Watch
	2.16	3.5	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.94)	3.37 (3.37)	2.84 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria U23
41.1%

Draw
26.9%

Estrela da Amadora U23
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

27.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria U23's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estrela da Amadora U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora U23 than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estrela da Amadora U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Estrela U23 (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Leiria U23 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Estrela U23 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estrela U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leiria U23 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leiria U23 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Leiria U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Leiria U23	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
18	Estrela U23	7	1	2	4	6:13	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.01.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Leiria U23	3:1 ✺
22.12.25	Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1 ✺
15.12.25	Leiria U23 - Farense U23	0:1 ✺
09.12.25	Estoril U23 - Leiria U23	2:2 ✺
02.12.25	Leiria U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Estrela da Amadora U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
10.01.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Estoril U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	3:2 ✺
22.12.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Torreense U23	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Estoril U23	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Santa Clara U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
11.10.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Leiria U23	1:1
15.08.25	Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:1

Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide