Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 12 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Estrella		Gran Tarajal

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.75
	2.21	3.3	2.86
	2.44	3.1	2.83
	2.4	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella
38.9%

Draw
28.8%

Gran Tarajal
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gran Tarajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Tarajal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Estrella - Gran Tarajal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Estrella has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gran Tarajal is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estrella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.01.23	Arucas - Estrella	2:0 ✺
20.01.23	Estrella - Las Palmas B	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Villa de Santa Brígida - Estrella	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Lanzarote - Estrella	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	Estrella - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTL
- UD Gran Tarajal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
29.01.23	Gran Tarajal - Tamaraceite	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Panadería Pulido - Gran Tarajal	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Gran Tarajal - Ibarra	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Gran Tarajal - Santa Úrsula	2:2 ✺
16.12.22	La Cuadra-Unión Puerto - Gran Tarajal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTLTT

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