Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Marcelo Tinoco (Danli)


	Estrella Roja de Danlí		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.10	2.15
	3.05	3	2.15
	3.24	2.87	2.2
	3.34	3.07	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.17
	2.87	3.39	2.35
	3	3.05	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.55)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella Roja de Danlí
29.2%

Draw
29.8%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella Roja de Danlí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrella Roja de Danlí's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moreira V. (G) 30. Calix C. 12. Garcia M. 23. Gomez E. 2. Juarez L. 18. Luna N. 6. Mayorquin R. (C) 15. Padilla J. 3. Rizo E. 13. Rosales O. 8. Velasquez J.	22. Rodriguez O. (G) 23. Alvarez J. (C) 19. Arboleda Y. 3. Bennett C. 12. Canales C. 31. Dibble N. 26. Flores D. 18. Garcia R. 15. Guity K. 4. Lobo E. 25. Paguada D.
Substitutes
7. Avila A. 24. Benitez R. 11. Bermudez S. 10. Duron D. 20. Gonzalez P. 19. Gutierrez J. 9. Lopez F. 69. Lopez J. 14. Munguia E. 32. Paz J. (G) 16. Rosales B. 29. Sabillon E.	9. Benguche J. 24. Bermudez J. 45. Cortes B. 5. Cuello E. 7. Enriquez I. 6. Garcia F. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 38. Mejia R. (G) 21. Pena K. 8. Rodriguez E. 68. Rodriguez J. 69. Romero E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Juarez L. 🟨,
20', Garcia M. 🟨,
25', Dibble N. 🟨,
37', Mayorquin R. 🟨,
45+4', Alvarez J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Garcia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Luna N. 🟨,
48', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
55', Arboleda Y. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
55', Flores D. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
59', Dibble N. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
65', Rosales O. ↓, Bermudez S. ↑,
74', Rizo E. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
75', Paguada D. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
83', Enriquez I. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, Pena K. ⚽,
90', Guity K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Olimpia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Estrella Roja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17
7	Estrella Roja	8	2	3	3	13:16	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella Roja de Danlí
Honduras Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Juticalpa	5:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lobos UPNFM - Estrella Roja de Danlí	2:2 ✺
02.08.26	Estrella Roja de Danlí - Olancho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTL
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Saprissa	2:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	Olancho - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Alianza Panama - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.26	UMECIT - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW

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