Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olimpia Tegucigalpa		Motagua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.25
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.17	2.83	3.35
	2.22	3.02	3.49	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.21	3.36	3.15
	2.11	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.72)	3.02 ↓ (3.5)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
42.4%

Draw
30%

Motagua
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Tegucigalpa's form might have worsened.

Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (C) 9. Benguche J. 3. Bennett C. 33. Chirinos M. 5. Cuello E. 18. Garcia R. 15. Guity K. 2. Hernandez E. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 8. Rodriguez E. 68. Rodriguez J.	22. Ortiz L. (G) 21. Batiz J. 19. De Olivera R. 5. Discua O. 35. Melendez C. (C) 8. Melendez D. 17. Portillo J. 23. Reyes A. 34. Sacaza G. 7. Serrano J. 4. Vega L.
Substitutes
19. Arboleda Y. 12. Canales C. 45. Cortes B. 31. Dibble N. 7. Enriquez I. 6. Garcia F. 4. Lobo E. 20. Maldonado A. 39. Ortiz A. 25. Paguada D. 21. Pena K. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)	28. Avila A. 14. Barrios A. 3. Cacho P. 24. Garcia J. 10. Gomez R. 15. Hernandez A. 25. Licona M. (G) 27. Macias J. 30. Miranda J. 80. Oliva D. 16. Santamaria L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Portillo J. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Chirinos M. ⚽,
40', Melendez D. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
52', Cuello E. 🟨,
57', Batiz J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
70', Chirinos M. ↓, Enriquez I. ↑,
70', Rodriguez J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
70', Cuello E. ↓, Canales C. ↑,
71', Serrano J. 🟨,
73', Guity K. 🟨,
77', 3 - 1, Enriquez I. ⚽,
78', Benguche J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
79', Portillo J. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
80', Guity K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
82', Melendez C. ↓, Santamaria L. ↑,
82', Vega L. ↓, Cacho P. ↑,
83', Enriquez I. 🟨,
83', Macias J. 🟨,
87', Discua O. 🟨,
88', Canales C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3.

Motagua is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Olimpia	8	5	2	1	19:7	12	17
4	Motagua	8	4	1	3	11:8	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Tegucigalpa - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 51.28%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.26	UMECIT - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
28.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
Honduras Super Cup
23.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	1:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
15.05.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- CD Motagua
CONCACAF Central American Cup
12.08.26	Motagua - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Motagua - CD FAS	1:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.08.26	Juticalpa - Motagua	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
28.07.26	Verdes - Motagua	0:5 ✺
Honduras Super Cup
23.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Super Cup
23.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	1:0
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.04.26	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:1
22.02.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	0:1
20.12.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:1
17.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:0
16.10.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:2
02.08.25	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:2

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