Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	19:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Belarus	01:00	Okko Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	00:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	19:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	18:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	06:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	00:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	02:00	Silk Universal
Indonesia	05:00	Mola TV
Israel	01:00	Sport 4
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Kosovo	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	06:00	Mola
Mexico	16:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	10:00	beIN Connect
Peru	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	23:00	Sport TV1
Serbia	00:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	00:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ESPN South
Spain	00:00	LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
Turkey	01:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Estudiantes La Plata		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.5
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.62	5.64
	1.77	3.32	5.08	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5	Watch
	1.68	3.52	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.52 ↑ (3.41)	5.39 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
55.8%

Draw
26.8%

Cerro Porteño
17.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	8.3%	22.2%

Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Estudiantes (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 4. Gomez R. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 22. Castro A. 25. Medina C. 10. Palacios T. 9. Carrillo G. 32. Amondarain M.	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 3. Perez M. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 15. Riveros B. 11. Iturbe J. 5. Morel J. 26. Piris R. 8. Carrizo F. (C) 27. Torres J. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 37. Magdaleno M. 6. Nunez S. 29. Perez Fabricio 21. Piovi L. 7. Sosa J. 24. Suarez L.	17. Aguayo G. 9. Amarilla L. 21. Araujo S. 10. Dominguez C. 43. Eliseche N. 28. Farina A. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 33. Gomez R. 48. Marcelino J. 16. Peralta F. 7. Sonora A. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
11', Martinez D. 🟨,
20', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
27', Piris R. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torres J. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
76', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
79', Carrillo G. 🟨,
80', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
80', Iturbe J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
80', Medina C. 🟨,
81', Medina C. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
90+1', Carrizo F. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
90+2', Castro A. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gabriel Neves (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Benitez A. G. (Shoulder Injury) Gimenez G. (Inactive) Luciatti A. (Back Injury) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Velazquez G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Injury) Perez Fabricio (Injury)

We predict that Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Banfield - Estudiantes La Plata	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:3 ✺
30.07.25	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1

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