Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	Mola
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	LaLiga+ app, LaLiga+
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Estudiantes La Plata		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.63	3.6	5.5
	1.7	3.55	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.62	5.64
	1.77	3.32	5.08	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5	Watch
	1.68	3.52	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	3.52 ↑ (3.41)	5.39 ↓ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
55.8%

Draw
26.8%

Cerro Porteño
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

27.5%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.1%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	8.3%	22.2%

Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 8 - 22.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estudiantes: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Estudiantes (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Estudiantes La Plata will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 14 - 87.5%). Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Muslera F. (G) 4. Gomez R. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 5. Ascacibar S. (C) 22. Castro A. 25. Medina C. 10. Palacios T. 9. Carrillo G. 32. Amondarain M.	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 3. Perez M. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 15. Riveros B. 11. Iturbe J. 5. Morel J. 26. Piris R. 8. Carrizo F. (C) 27. Torres J. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 18. Cetre E. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 37. Magdaleno M. 6. Nunez S. 29. Perez Fabricio 21. Piovi L. 7. Sosa J. 24. Suarez L.	17. Aguayo G. 9. Amarilla L. 21. Araujo S. 10. Dominguez C. 43. Eliseche N. 28. Farina A. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 33. Gomez R. 48. Marcelino J. 16. Peralta F. 7. Sonora A. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 🟨,
11', Martinez D. 🟨,
20', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
27', Piris R. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torres J. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
76', Palacios T. ↓, Farias F. ↑,
79', Carrillo G. 🟨,
80', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Dominguez C. ↑,
80', Iturbe J. ↓, Amarilla L. ↑,
80', Medina C. 🟨,
81', Medina C. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
90+1', Carrizo F. ↓, Sonora A. ↑,
90+2', Castro A. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Estudiantes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estudiantes is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Gabriel Neves (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cerro Porteño: Benitez A. G. (Shoulder Injury) Gimenez G. (Inactive) Luciatti A. (Back Injury) Melgarejo R. (Knee Injury) Velazquez G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Estudiantes: Ascacibar S. (Injury) Perez Fabricio (Injury)

We predict that Estudiantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Banfield - Estudiantes La Plata	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
21.07.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:3 ✺
30.07.25	Cerro Porteño - 2 de Mayo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1

Upcoming Matches