Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Olimpia Asuncion		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.10	3.70	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.25
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.02	3.29	4.14
	2	3.33	3.8	Watch
	1.96	3.25	4.05
	1.92	3.43	3.89	Watch
	1.86	3.15	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.21)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	3.74 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
46.6%

Draw
28.7%

Cerro Porteño
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olveira G. (G) 4. Payne T. 14. Vargas G. 15. Gamarra M. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 7. Cardozo F. 5. Alfaro J. F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 20. Delmas E. 35. Alfonso F. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I.	1. Roffo M. (G) 4. Canete Torres A. D. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 35. Chaparro M. 26. Piris R. 8. Dominguez F. 5. Morel J. 19. Vegetti P. 31. Aliseda I. 11. Iturbe J.
Substitutes
37. Benitez R. 2. Bentaberry B. 27. Caceres R. 16. Dominguez J. 11. Ferreira S. 12. Lentinelly S. (G) 19. Lezcano R. 23. Matus E. 18. Quintana S. 26. Sanchez R. 9. Sandoval H. 22. Vera J.	20. Almendra A. E. 13. Benitez A. G. 34. Chena C. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 28. Franco C. 18. Gamarra A. 6. Merolla L. 36. Noguera F. 16. Ramirez I. 7. Rodriguez D. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Holan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Cardozo F. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Canete Torres A. D. ⚽, Dominguez F. (A),
45+2', Dominguez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Alfonso F. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
46', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
46', Dominguez F. ↓, Gamarra A. ↑,
57', Iturbe J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Delmas E. ⚽, Caballero Fleytas T. I. (A),
62', Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Sandoval H. ⚽, Benitez R. (A),
69', Delmas E. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
69', Piris R. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
82', Cardozo F. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
82', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
83', Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↓, Ramirez I. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cerro Porteño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Olimpia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 9 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	13	8	2	3	22:10	12	26
8	Cerro Porteno	13	5	2	6	15:14	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.59%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTLW
- Cerro Porteño
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.08.26	Palmeiras - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
19.04.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	Olimpia Asuncion Awarded
21.02.26	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1
19.10.25	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1
03.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:3
03.05.25	Cerro Porteño - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2
23.02.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1
27.10.24	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	3:0

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