Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - Final

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Austria	DAZN
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Estudiantes La Plata

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.65	2.75	Watch
	3.15	2.62	2.88	Watch
	3.21	2.66	2.91
	3.14	2.62	2.84	Watch
	3	2.5	2.8
	3.02	2.59	2.83	Watch
	3.14	2.57	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.29)	2.6 ↓ (3.03)	2.83 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
30.4%

Draw
36.3%

Estudiantes La Plata
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

31.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.

Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estudiantes La Plata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Estudiantes La Plata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	45.5%	9.1%

Racing - Estudiantes La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 20%). Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (G) 34. Mura F. 23. Colombo N. 2. Garcia A. 27. Rojas G. 13. Sosa S. (C) 5. Nardoni J. 32. Almendra A. E. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez 7. Vergara D.	28. Muslera F. (G) 4. Gomez R. 6. Nunez S. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 15. Arzamendia S. 5. Ascacibar S. 21. Piovi L. 25. Medina C. 10. Palacios T. 9. Carrillo G. 18. Cetre E.
Substitutes
21. Arias G. (G) 77. Balboa A. 17. Conechny T. 3. Di Cesare M. 24. Fernandez A. 8. Forneris A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 18. Pardo F. 6. Rojo M. 10. Vietto L. 11. Zaracho M. 36. Zuculini B.	27. Alario L. 32. Amondarain M. 13. Benedetti G. 17. Burgos J. 22. Castro A. 11. Farias F. 26. Funes Mori R. 1. Iacovich F. (G) 20. Meza E. 29. Perez Fabricio 2. Rodriguez F. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Costas G.	Dominguez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Gomez R. 🟨,
37', Carrillo G. 🟨,
42', Palacios T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
70', Colombo N. 🟨,
74', Palacios T. ↓, Burgos J. ↑,
75', Solari S. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
76', Almendra A. E. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽,
83', Gomez R. ↓, Meza E. ↑,
83', Piovi L. ↓, Alario L. ↑,
87', Vergara D. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
87', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
89', Medina C. ↓, Sosa J. ↑,
89', Arzamendia S. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Carrillo G. ⚽, Sosa J. (A),
90+5', Pardo F. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Nunez S. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
101', Nardoni J. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
119', Benedetti G. 🟨,
119', Conechny T. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Sosa J. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Adrian Martinez (Penalty Awarded),
2, Cetre E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vietto L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Alario L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Garcia A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Burgos J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Martirena Torres G. N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Meza E. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Rodriguez F. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Pardo F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Neutral location - Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.

Racing has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Estudiantes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Estudiantes has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Racing: Rodriguez I. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury) Vietto L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Estudiantes: Gabriel Neves (Inactive)

There are questionable in Racing: Solari S. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:19. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 41.12%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.12.25	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:1 ✺
01.12.25	Racing - Tigre	1:0 penalties ✺
24.11.25	Racing - River Plate	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW
- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.12.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Central Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Rosario Central - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.07.25	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1
03.02.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	2:0
04.12.24	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	4:5
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.02.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0
03.09.23	Racing - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.07.23	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	0:0
09.09.22	Estudiantes La Plata - Racing	1:0

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