Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi (La Plata)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	Movistar Plus+ 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Estudiantes La Plata		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3	3.1	2.37
	2.95	2.95	2.6	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.49
	5.87	4.00	1.55	Watch
	2.96	3.08	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (3.11)	3.23 ↓ (3.27)	2.35 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata
28.1%

Draw
30.2%

River Plate
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

28.6%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	58.3%	33.3%

Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - River Plate (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Muslera F. (G) 4. Gomez R. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 2. Rodriguez F. 15. Arzamendia S. 7. Sosa J. 32. Amondarain M. 5. Ascacibar S. 22. Castro A. 11. Farias F. 10. Palacios T.	1. Armani F. (G) 16. Bustos F. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 24. Perez E. (C) 5. Portillo J. 26. Fernandez N. 7. Salas M. 15. Driussi S.
Substitutes
27. Alario L. 13. Benedetti G. 9. Carrillo G. 18. Cetre E. 26. Funes Mori R. 8. Gabriel Neves 1. Iacovich F. (G) 37. Magdaleno M. 25. Medina C. 6. Nunez S. 21. Piovi L. 24. Suarez L.	14. Boselli S. 20. Casco M. 22. Castano K. 11. Colidio F. 17. Diaz P. 23. Galarza M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 39. Lencina S. 18. Martinez P. 9. Miguel Borja 4. Montiel G. 10. Quintero J.
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Giuliano Galoppo ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Fernandez N. ⚽,
17', Dominguez E. 🟨,
18', Gonzalez Pirez L. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
37', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
39', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
44', Salas M. 🟨,
44', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Castro A. ↓, Cetre E. ↑,
46', Amondarain M. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
46', Palacios T. ↓, Carrillo G. ↑,
46', Driussi S. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
46', Fernandez N. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
58', Rivero L. 🟨,
67', Medina C. 🟨,
67', Acuna M. 🟨,
70', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
72', Sosa J. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
76', Perez E. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
81', Salas M. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Nunez S. ⚽, Cetre E. (A),
90+2', Carrillo G. 🟨,
90+3', Armani F. 🟨,
90+4', Castano K. 🟨,
90+5', Colidio F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 1.

Estudiantes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

River Plate is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Estudiantes: Burgos J. (Pelvis Injury) Meza E. (Hamstring Injury) Perez Fabricio (Inactive)

There will not play in River Plate: Colidio F. (Inactive) Driussi S. (Inactive) Martinez P. (Muscle Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.25	Central Córdoba - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Banfield - Estudiantes La Plata	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLW
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.08.25	River Plate - San Martín de San Juan	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
28.08.25	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.25	Lanús - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.08.25	River Plate - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.25	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2
29.11.24	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	1:2
Argentinian Super Cup
13.03.24	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.23	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	3:1
05.10.22	River Plate - Estudiantes La Plata	5:0
31.10.21	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.02.21	Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate	2:1

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