Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Malvinas Argentinas (Mendoza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Sport TV1
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		River Plate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.9
	4.45	3.25	1.85	Watch
	4.65	3.25	1.88
	4	3.1	1.91
	4.46	3.34	1.86	Watch
	4.1	3.45	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.25)	3.25 ↓ (3.45)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
21.9%

Draw
28.5%

River Plate
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

27%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.3%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Unión Santa Fe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	71.4%	28.6%

Unión Santa Fe - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 13. Fascendini V. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 16. Martinez M. 30. Pitton M. (C) 7. Fragapane F. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C.	1. Armani F. (G) 4. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 13. Rivero L. 21. Acuna M. 24. Perez E. (C) 22. Castano K. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 26. Fernandez N. 19. Driussi S. 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez E. 8. Canete E. 21. Colazo A. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 15. Durso T. (G) 18. Gamba L. 26. Luduena J. 17. Palavecino N. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R. 23. Solari A.	14. Boselli S. 20. Casco M. 11. Colidio F. 17. Diaz P. 23. Galarza M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 39. Lencina S. 47. Meza J. 9. Miguel Borja 5. Portillo J. 10. Quintero J. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Madelon L.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Fernandez N. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
69', Tarragona C. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
75', Palacios J. ↓, Solari A. ↑,
75', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
82', Fragapane F. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
82', Estigarribia M. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
83', Perez E. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
83', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
83', Salas M. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Martinez M. (Pen),
1, Quintero J. (Pen),
2, Pitton M. (Pen),
2, Miguel Borja (Pen),
3, Gamba L. (Pen),
3, Colidio F. (Pen),
4, Fascendini V. (Pen),
4, Martinez Quarta L. (Pen),
5, Colazo A. (Pen),
5, Montiel G. (Pen),

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 1.

Unión has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

River Plate is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, River Plate is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unión won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Santa Fe - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 21.9%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.08.25	Unión Santa Fe - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Instituto Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	0:4 ✺
10.08.25	Argentinos Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
25.07.25	Unión Santa Fe - Tigre	0:0 ✺
18.07.25	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWLTT
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.08.25	Lanús - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.08.25	River Plate - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.25	Independiente - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.08.24	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0
31.03.23	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	1:0
19.06.22	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	1:5
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.22	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.07.21	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	4:0
10.11.12	River Plate - Unión Santa Fe	2:0

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