Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez (Lanús)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Lanús		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.5	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.05	2.92	2.55	Watch
	3.2	3	2.58
	3.22	2.53	2.79	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.3
	3.06	2.96	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.46)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	2.54 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanús
30.2%

Draw
32.8%

River Plate
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

31.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

32.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that River Plate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Lanús - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - River Plate (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Losada N. (G) 4. Perez G. 24. Izquierdoz C. (C) 13. Canale Dominguez J. 6. Marcich S. 39. Medina A. 30. Cardozo A. 11. Salvio E. 10. Marcelino Moreno 36. Segovia A. 19. Castillo R.	1. Armani F. (C) 14. Boselli S. 5. Portillo J. 13. Rivero L. 20. Casco M. 34. Giuliano Galoppo 22. Castano K. 23. Galarza M. 47. Meza J. 9. Miguel Borja 11. Colidio F.
Substitutes
7. Acosta L. 25. Aquino D. 9. Bou W. 14. Canelo A. 23. Carrera R. 21. Mendez A. 17. Morales L. (G) 3. Morgantini N. 32. Quiroz T. 33. Ramirez J. 40. Romero L. 8. Watson F. N.	35. Costantini G. 27. Dadin B. 15. Driussi S. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 39. Lencina S. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 4. Montiel G. 10. Quintero J. 19. Salas M. 38. Subiabre I.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Miguel Borja ↓, Salas M. ↑,
46', Meza J. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
56', Segovia A. ↓, Watson F. N. ↑,
63', Boselli S. ↓, Montiel G. ↑,
63', Colidio F. ↓, Driussi S. ↑,
66', Medina A. 🟨,
74', Perez G. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
75', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Giuliano Galoppo (A),
78', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Costantini G. ↑,
87', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Bou W. ↑,
87', Medina A. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
90', Salas M. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽, Bou W. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Lanús: De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Bustos F. (Injury) Meza M. (Knee Injury) Pezzella G. (Knee Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Salas M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Lanús
Copa Sudamericana
21.08.25	Lanús - Central Córdoba	2:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.08.25	Central Córdoba - Lanús	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.08.25	Lanús - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
01.08.25	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWW
- River Plate
Copa Libertadores
21.08.25	River Plate - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.25	River Plate - Godoy Cruz	4:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.08.25	Independiente - River Plate	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.08.25	San Martín de Tucumán - River Plate	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.02.25	River Plate - Lanús	1:0
21.07.24	River Plate - Lanús	2:2
04.03.23	Lanús - River Plate	0:2
25.06.22	River Plate - Lanús	2:1
28.07.21	Lanús - River Plate	0:3
02.12.12	River Plate - Lanús	1:0

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