The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 48%
Draw 31.4%
Deportivo Madryn 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
31.4%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
33.8%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lungarzo J. (G) 2. Benitez J. 3. Quinteros F. 4. Dure F. 6. Caro Nicolas 7. Ardiles F. 5. Melo R. 8. Sena F. 10. Correa J. 11. Acosta E. 9. Acosta M.
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 2. Giacopuzzi F. 3. Diarte L. 4. Cosi J. 6. Corvalan C. 5. Recalde F. 7. Marinucci L. 8. Meli M. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N. 11. Servetto N.
Substitutes
20. Almiron E. 13. Bernardi B. 16. Camacho S. 17. Degregorio B. 18. Nunez M. 15. Silva L. 14. Squie T. 19. Vera I. 12. Vila F. (G)
18. Bersano F. 15. Dionisio A. 13. Gutierrez A. 17. Jara E. 19. Machado C. 16. Martinez A. 12. Montero M. (G) 14. Ortiz N. D. 20. Peinipil J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Ardiles F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acosta E. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
53', Caro Nicolas 🟥,
57', Correa J. ↓, Bernardi B. ↑,
65', Meli M. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
65', Servetto N. ↓, Peinipil J. ↑,
65', Cosi J. ↓, Dionisio A. ↑,
66', Melo R. 🟨,
75', Ardiles F. ↓, Degregorio B. ↑,
75', Acosta M. ↓, Squie T. ↑,
76', 0 - 1, Silba L. ⚽, Peinipil J. (A),
80', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Ortiz N. D. ↑,
80', Silba L. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
83', Dure F. 🟨,
84', Dure F. ↓, Almiron E. ↑,
90+2', Solis N. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, CA Estudiantes is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).