Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Patronato Parana

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33
	1.9	3.2	3.9
	1.95	3.25	3.75
	2	2.96	4.47
	1.94	3.11	4.62
	1.91	3.2	4
	1.88	3.22	4.26
	1.92	3.15	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.16 ↑ (3.07)	4.18 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
48.2%

Draw
29.5%

Patronato Parana
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

30.3%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Estudiantes de Caseros have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Patronato Parana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Budino M. (G) 4. Del Col M. 2. Perales V. 6. Ledesma D. 3. Fernandez N. 8. Miranda F. 5. Lugo M. 10. Acosta E. 11. Contreras E. 7. Fagundez F. 9. Beron J.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Sosa B. 6. Ferreyra M. 3. Martinez D. 8. Gonzalez E. 5. Turraca G. 11. Purita E. 10. Gonzalez A. 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Valencia J.
Substitutes
13. Benitez J. 16. Brinone S. 12. Casco I. 20. Luna E. 14. Lusnig L. 15. Oro P. 19. Sandoval I. 17. Valdivia M. 18. Vallejos I.	16. Barinaga J. 13. Burdisso M. 15. Maciel E. 20. Malimberni S. 19. Meynier M. 17. Pereyra V. L. 14. Perotti J. 18. Picco A. R. 12. Rivasseau F. (G)
Coaches
Otta W.	Perazzo W

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Miranda F. 🟨,
58', Miranda F. ↓, Vallejos I. ↑,
69', Purita E. ↓, Maciel E. ↑,
72', Beron J. ↓, Sandoval I. ↑,
72', Contreras E. ↓, Luna E. ↑,
74', Maciel E. 🟨,
77', Del Col M. 🟨,
83', Acosta E. ↓, Valdivia M. ↑,
83', Fagundez F. ↓, Oro P. ↑,
87', Gonzalez A. ↓, Picco A. R. ↑,
87', Valencia J. ↓, Malimberni S. ↑,
90+3', Perales V. 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17).

CA Estudiantes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Patronato is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match CA Estudiantes is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.24	Tristán Suárez - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - All Boys	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Estudiantes de Caseros - Guillermo Brown	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	San Martín de San Juan - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWT
- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.04.24	Patronato Parana - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Quilmes - Patronato Parana	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Maipú	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TTTLT

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