The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 22.2%
Draw 33.9%
San Miguel 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
29.6%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
29.3%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Miguel than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
28.6%
71.4%
Alvarado - San Miguel Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. San Miguel will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Miguel: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. San Miguel (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Ardiles F. 2. Silva K. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Aleo A. 5. Blasi B. 8. Mansilla M. 10. Bolivar A. 11. Gobetto J. (C) 7. Martinez E. 9. Bolzicco T.
1. Sappa D. (G) 7. Antunes I. 2. Parnisari E. 4. Kippes A. (C) 6. Cardozo F. 3. Corda S. 8. Sena F. 5. Cravero T. 11. Salto C. 9. Nasta B. 10. Dening E.
Substitutes
20. Amilivia T. 17. Borgnino M. 13. Fernandez T. 15. Gorgerino C. 12. Henricot F. (G) 18. Miori M. 16. Russo F. 19. Susvielles J. 14. Werro V.
14. Cazula A. 16. D. Renteria 15. Ferrero J. 13. Grance I. 12. Lungarzo J. (G) 17. Mosca C. 18. Rodriguez Trezza L. 19. Rojas M. 20. Sosa D.
Coaches
Vazquez M.
Coleoni G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Irazoque A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aleo A. ↓, Susvielles J. ↑,
64', Salto C. 🟨,
66', Salto C. ↓, Ferrero J. ↑,
71', Nasta B. ↓, Mosca C. ↑,
83', Bolzicco T. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
83', Martinez E. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
83', Corda S. ↓, Grance I. ↑,
83', Sena F. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Alvarado have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Miguel is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Watch
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Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 
D. Renteria 
Rodriguez Trezza L. 
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