Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.65	3.7	Watch
	2.32	2.72	3.45	Watch
	2.44	2.68	3.86
	2.44	2.52	3.9	Watch
	2.4	2.6	3.4
	2.31	2.53	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.51)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)	3.67 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
39.2%

Draw
35.5%

Colón
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

35.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

35.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Colón will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 50%). Colón (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Colón (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Colón (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. CA Estudiantes (votes: 1 - 25%). Colón (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 2. Benitez J. 5. Melo R. 6. Caro Nicolas 3. Squie T. 7. Ardiles F. 4. Bernardi B. 8. Sena F. 11. Acosta E. 10. Correa J. 9. Rostagno D.	1. Budino M. (G) 4. Peinipil M. 3. Allende L. 7. Munoz M. 2. Barrios P. 5. Lertora F. 6. Rasmussen F. 8. Antonio I. 10. Lago I. 11. Marcioni J. 9. Bonansea A.
Substitutes
13. Albarracin M. 20. Almiron E. 16. Camacho S. 17. Degregorio B. 14. Dure F. 18. Melo A. 15. Nunez T. 19. Salas T. 12. Vila F. (G)	17. Beltran E. 14. Cano L. 18. Castet F. 20. Castro F. 12. Gimenez T. (G) 16. Ibarra C. 13. Olmedo S. 19. Sarmiento D. 15. Toledo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Bonansea A. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Lago I. ⚽,
21', Rostagno D. 🟨,
31', Lertora F. ↓, Toledo A. ↑,
40', Bernardi B. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Ardiles F. ⚽,
45+2', Peinipil M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bernardi B. ↓, Albarracin M. ↑,
50', Caro Nicolas 🟨,
50', Correa J. 🟨,
58', Correa J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
66', Barrios P. 🟨,
68', Marcioni J. ↓, Sarmiento D. ↑,
72', Benitez J. 🟨,
75', Acosta E. ↓, Salas T. ↑,
80', Camacho S. 🟨,
86', Rasmussen F. 🟨,
87', Lago I. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
87', Bonansea A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
90+2', Melo R. ↓, Rostagno D. ↑,

Preview

CA Estudiantes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CA Estudiantes might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CA Estudiantes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, CA Estudiantes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	San Miguel - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWTW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.26	Colón - All Boys	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Los Andes - Colón	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Colón - Godoy Cruz	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Deportivo Morón - Colón	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Colón - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.09.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Colón	1:0
24.05.25	Colón - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:0
Copa Argentina
16.10.19	Colón - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:3 penalties

Upcoming Matches