Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.81	2.85	5.5	Watch
	1.93	2.8	4.5
	1.85	2.88	4.95	Watch
	1.91	2.99	5.42
	1.88	2.9	5.36	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.8
	1.82	2.85	5.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)	2.87 ↓ (2.92)	5.08 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
49.6%

Draw
32.2%

Central Norte
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

32%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Medina A. (G) 4. Magallanes D. 2. Gamarra G. 6. Perez A. 3. Sanchez F. 5. De Tomasso J. (C) 8. Ciccolini L. 10. Benitez A. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Dellarossa J.	1. Vazquez E. (G) 3. Aleo A. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 4. Felissia L. 11. Taobas T. 8. Mancuso G. 5. Ribero M. (C) 7. Moravec M. 10. Mateo J. 9. Borda F.
Substitutes
20. Aquilino G. 18. Garcia D. 17. Gomez B. 16. Gutierrez I. 15. Jerez Silva L. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 14. Perez I. 19. Rodriguez L. 13. Vaquer N.	17. Alvez G. 15. Bustinduy A. 16. Cabrera T. 20. Dorini P. 14. Enriquez R. 19. Fernandez K. 12. Hass F. (G) 18. Lopez J. 13. Pucheta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Ribero M. ⚽, Mateo J. (A),
22', Gamarra G. 🟨,
26', Aleo A. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Ribero M. 🟨,
64', Felissia L. 🟨,
64', Magallanes D. ↓, Gomez B. ↑,
64', Gamarra G. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽, Garcia D. (A),
69', Mateo J. ↓, Alvez G. ↑,
69', Taobas T. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
73', Moyano P. ↓, Aquilino G. ↑,
83', Sanchez F. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
84', Ciccolini L. ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,
89', Moravec M. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
89', Ribero M. ↓, Pucheta A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Defensores has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Central Norte is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Defensores is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Defensores won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Defensores won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWT
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Central Norte - Mitre	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.09.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	2:0
25.05.25	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1

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