Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 12 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de Caseros (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Lobo Medina L. (Arg)


	Estudiantes de Caseros		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.3	2.75	2.3
	3.25	2.85	2.38
	3.35	2.75	2.26
	3.88	2.73	2.38
	3.5	2.7	2.25
	3.42	2.88	2.21
	3.45	2.85	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.08)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)	2.3 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Caseros
26.7%

Draw
33%

Instituto Córdoba
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

33.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

34.9%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Estudiantes de Caseros - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. CA Estudiantes will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Instituto will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CA Estudiantes: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

CA Estudiantes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Instituto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Instituto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Estudiantes de Caseros
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.11.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
29.10.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
15.10.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Estudiantes de Caseros - All Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWWW
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.11.22	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
10.10.22	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
03.10.22	Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Instituto Córdoba - Temperley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.06.22	Instituto Córdoba - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0

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