Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano (Moron)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)


	Deportivo Morón		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.87
	2.8	2.7	2.7
	2.9	2.63	2.75
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.98	2.76	2.9
	2.8	2.55	2.88
	2.64	2.78	2.82
	2.8	2.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.73)	2.73 (2.73)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Morón
33.1%

Draw
33.8%

Instituto Córdoba
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Instituto will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 13 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Deportivo Morón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Instituto is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Morón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Deportivo Morón won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Morón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.22	Sacachispas - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.09.22	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Deportivo Morón - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
29.08.22	Quilmes - Deportivo Morón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTL
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.09.22	Instituto Córdoba - Temperley	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Flandria - Instituto Córdoba	0:4 ✺
10.09.22	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia Jujuy	4:0 ✺
04.09.22	Almirante Brown - Instituto Córdoba	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.08.21	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Morón	2:1
11.04.21	Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba	2:2
25.11.18	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Morón	0:2
16.11.17	Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba	0:1

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