Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.7	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.65	2.45
	3.1	2.65	2.6
	3.2	2.65	2.44
	3.54	2.6	2.65
	3.2	2.55	2.55
	3.16	2.66	2.49	Watch
	3.3	2.7	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	2.65 ↓ (2.65)	2.53 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
28.4%

Draw
35%

Instituto Córdoba
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

34.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

34.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Defensores de Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Instituto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Defensores de Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.10.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	All Boys - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	2:3 ✺
25.09.22	Defensores de Belgrano - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WWLWT
- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.10.22	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
03.10.22	Deportivo Morón - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Instituto Córdoba - Temperley	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Flandria - Instituto Córdoba	0:4 ✺
10.09.22	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia Jujuy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.05.22	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1
25.07.21	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2
13.03.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	0:0
17.01.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
28.09.19	Defensores de Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	1:1
21.09.18	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	4:3

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