Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 14

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)

Referee: Delgado Y. (Ven)


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Mineros de Guayana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	2	2.95	3.5
	1.92	3.12	3.71
	1.95	3.25	3.6
	1.95	3.52	3.6	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	3.51 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
46.1%

Draw
28%

Mineros de Guayana
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

21.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mineros de Guayana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estudiantes de Mérida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 4.

Estudiantes de Mérida is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mineros has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estudiantes de Mérida could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Estudiantes de Mérida have a series of guest games.

Estudiantes de Mérida will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Estudiantes de Mérida won 6 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes de Mérida won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.05.23	Angostura - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Fortaleza - Estudiantes de Mérida	6:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Palestino - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Mineros de Guayana
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.05.23	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo Táchira	0:4 ✺
28.04.23	Metropolitanos - Mineros de Guayana	3:0 ✺
22.04.23	Mineros de Guayana - Carabobo	0:1 ✺
16.04.23	Caracas - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Mineros de Guayana - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
19.06.22	Mineros de Guayana - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1
27.05.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana	2:0
02.12.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana	3:2
31.10.20	Mineros de Guayana - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:3
26.09.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana	1:0
30.06.19	Mineros de Guayana - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:0
23.06.19	Estudiantes de Mérida - Mineros de Guayana	0:0

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