Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Portuguesa Acarígua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.18	3.3	3.05
	2.23	3.42	2.97
	2.23	3.53	3.01	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.2	3.24	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.28)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)	3 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
41.8%

Draw
27.6%

Portuguesa Acarígua
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Portuguesa Acarígua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rojas T. (G) 25. Acosta H. 2. Gutierez J. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 11. Montero A. 15. Rivas C. (C) 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 26. Azocar J.	22. Reyes J. (G) 17. Zuniga K. 33. Acuna M. 13. Peraza E. 6. Trujillo A. 24. Lovazzano L. 5. Soto J. (C) 8. Salega G. 11. Moreno J. 7. Rojas R. 9. Canete J.
Substitutes
35. Ajam Elias 7. Albarran E. 44. Caicedo L. 21. Flores A. 32. Izarra A. 33. Mejias Diego 31. Montes G. 28. Paez M. 10. Pena A. 18. Rivera B. 12. Roberts E. (G) 36. Zambrano N.	16. Garcia H. 28. Gonzalez J. 14. Gonzalez O. 23. Linarez D. 19. Marco Bustillo 21. Mendoza R. 27. Moreno Quero L. 20. Perez J. 30. Suarez C. 66. Urpin C. 1. Velasquez B. (G) 26. Yepez A.
Coaches
Gomez J.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Rojas T. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Moreno J. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Trujillo A. 🟨,
45+1', Soto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Acuna M. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
46', Trujillo A. ↓, Urpin C. ↑,
57', Salega G. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
58', Azocar J. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
58', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Montes G. ⚽,
71', Montes G. 🟨,
72', Rojas R. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,
75', Rodriguez C. 🟨,
80', Lobo J. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
80', Montero A. ↓, Zambrano N. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Quejada K. ⚽, Ivey R. (A),
85', Soto J. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
88', Ivey R. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
90+6', Rivas C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Portuguesa	11	4	5	2	14:12	2	17
7	Estudiantes Merida	11	4	4	3	12:12	0	16

Last Results with these Odds

Portuguesa Acarígua - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.28%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.03.26	Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
18.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWTLW
- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
22.03.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Rayo Zuliano	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Zamora - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Caracas	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Metropolitanos - Portuguesa Acarígua	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Monagas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
20.09.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:0
Copa Venezuela
06.08.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 penalties
29.07.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.04.25	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:2
12.10.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:0
13.04.24	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	3:2
16.07.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0

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