Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida (Mérida)


	Estudiantes de Mérida		Yaracuyanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.65	7.5
	1.35	4.72	8.28
	1.36	5.03	7.39	Watch
	1.33	4.45	8.2	Watch
	1.33	4.55	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)	4.68 ↑ (4.45)	7.95 ↓ (8.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes de Mérida
68.7%

Draw
19.7%

Yaracuyanos
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20.7%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

19.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Yaracuyanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Roberts E. (G) 3. Marquez J. 25. Acosta H. 44. Doldan J. 35. Ajam Elias 81. Guzman S. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 15. Rivas C. (C) 99. Browne O. 9. Hernandez J. 23. Fernandez M.	1. Gil Y. (G) 6. Mendoza J. 3. Labranche M. 17. Ibarguen L. 19. Cordoba J. B. 4. Grueso S. 5. Hernandez S. 9. Perez J. 15. Mosquera L. (C) 20. Ordonez E. 99. Viez V.
Substitutes
33. Alderete E. 14. Gonzalez O. 31. Lacruz Y. 16. Lobo J. 24. Lopez A. 27. Molina F. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 11. Moreno J. 77. Ortiz K. 17. Paez G. 28. Paez M. 1. Rojas T. (G)	14. Canon M. 8. Chacon J. 11. Garzon D. 16. Gonzalez K. 88. Navas Barrera V. H. 12. Ramirez Y. (G)
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Aranda A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ajam Elias 🟨,
36', Doldan J. 🟨,
37', Cordoba J. B. ↓, Canon M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hernandez S. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
46', Ajam Elias ↓, Alderete E. ↑,
46', Ordonez E. ↓, Navas Barrera V. H. ↑,
57', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
60', Fernandez M. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
60', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
62', Grueso S. 🟨,
69', Grueso S. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
72', 0 - 1, Viez V. ⚽, Mosquera L. (A),
72', Guzman S. ↓, Ortiz K. ↑,
78', Perez J. 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, Mosquera L. ⚽, Canon M. (A),
81', Gonzalez K. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Est de Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Est de Mérida is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.09.25	Academia Puerto Cabello - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0 ✺
24.08.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLLL
- Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.09.25	Yaracuyanos - Deportivo Táchira	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Deportivo La Guaira - Yaracuyanos	4:0 ✺
12.09.25	Yaracuyanos - Academia Anzoátegui	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	Caracas - Yaracuyanos	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Yaracuyanos - Rayo Zuliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
26.04.25	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0
14.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1
14.10.20	Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos	1:2
01.03.20	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:1
26.01.14	Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos	1:1
25.08.13	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	0:1
20.02.13	Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos	1:0

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