Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo (San Cristóbal)


	Deportivo Táchira		Estudiantes de Mérida

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.95	7.7
	1.34	4.81	8.4
	1.36	4.72	8.42	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9
	1.29	4.55	9.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	4.71 ↑ (4.15)	8.57 ↑ (7.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Táchira
69.6%

Draw
19.6%

Estudiantes de Mérida
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

22.4%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

21.5%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Táchira's performance.

Estudiantes de Mérida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Araque A. (G) 45. Provenzano F. 4. Fratta G. 13. Camacho P. (C) 2. Sanchez J. 8. Villalpando J. 25. Perez A. 70. Ramirez H. 10. Sosa C. 11. Gonzalez L. 9. Pollero R.	12. Roberts E. (G) 25. Acosta H. 4. Rodriguez C. 2. Gutierez J. 13. Maldonado M. 31. Montes G. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 15. Rivas C. (C) 17. Magallan C. 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K.
Substitutes
88. Alfonzo D. 17. Balza J. 20. Calzadilla C. 5. Fioravanti L. 23. Hernandez O. 22. Oliveros A. 14. Palmezano B. 7. Penaranda A. 44. Tamiche E. 30. Vargas E. (G) 41. Wilches W. 27. Zuniga L.	35. Ajam Elias 7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 8. D'Agostino A. 21. Flores A. 16. Lobo J. 3. Marquez J. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 28. Paez M. 1. Rojas T. (G) 36. Zambrano N.
Coaches
Recoba A.	Gomez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
36', Maldonado M. ↓, Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Ramirez H. 🟨,
55', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟥,
57', Ramirez H. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
60', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Villalpando J. ⚽, Sosa C. (A),
66', Provenzano F. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
72', Sosa C. 🟥,
74', Magallan C. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
74', Gomez J. 🟥,
78', Perez A. ↓, Hernandez O. ↑,
78', Villalpando J. ↓, Alfonzo D. ↑,
78', Gonzalez L. ↓, Palmezano B. ↑,
87', Flores A. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
90+5', Rivas C. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 3.

Deportivo Táchira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Estudiantes Mérida is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Deportivo Táchira is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Táchira won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Táchira won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:6. (average 2.3:0.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Tachira	11	7	2	2	24:14	10	23
7	Estudiantes Merida	11	4	4	3	12:12	0	16

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Táchira - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.42%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Táchira
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.05.26	Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Táchira	0:1 ✺
12.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTWL
- Estudiantes de Mérida
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Carabobo - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Metropolitanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
02.05.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:1
22.03.26	Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0
31.08.25	Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida	4:0
28.03.25	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	2:3
16.07.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	1:1
04.02.24	Deportivo Táchira - Estudiantes de Mérida	5:1
08.10.23	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo Táchira	1:3

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