The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 41%
Draw 35.2%
Nueva Chicago 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
27.8%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
28.6%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Río Cuarto's form might have worsened.
Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nueva Chicago's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. E Río Cuarto will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Olivera B. (G) 4. Antonini J. 2. Maffini G. (C) 6. Ojeda S. 3. Angelini L. 5. Nelle S. 8. Vazquez F. 7. Garnerone M. 10. Morales A. 11. Valiente M. 9. Fontana A.
1. Ferrero F. (C) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Abello D. 8. Rodriguez T. 7. Ortiz S. 5. Mendez E. 11. Nouet F. 10. Cortes B. 9. Rodriguez I.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez F. 12. Bigo J. (G) 13. Cobos F. 15. Fenoglio V. 19. Ferreira J. 20. Gonzalez L. 17. Orosco B. 14. Ruiz M. 16. Tevez M.
19. Almaraz A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 15. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 13. Motroni J. 16. Muscia G. 20. Ortiz M. 17. Vazquez L. I. 14. Zalazar C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Rodriguez I. ⚽,
37', Mendez E. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Nelle S. 🟨,
51', Ortiz S. 🟨,
63', Cortes B. ↓, Muscia G. ↑,
63', Nouet F. ↓, Motroni J. ↑,
81', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
83', Ferrero F. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
83', Rodriguez I. ↓, Zalazar C. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 3.
E Río Cuarto has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nueva Chicago is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Nueva Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, E Río Cuarto is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, E Río Cuarto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, E Río Cuarto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Argentina
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Olivera B. (G) 
Cortes B. 
Ferreira J. 
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