Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 23

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nueva Chicago (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Nueva Chicago		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.75	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.3
	2.32	2.78	3.3	Watch
	2.47	2.74	3.6
	2.40	2.98	3.15	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.4
	2.37	2.67	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.29)	2.77 ↓ (3.18)	3.41 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nueva Chicago
39.3%

Draw
33.4%

Chaco For Ever
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chaco For Ever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	69.2%	7.7%

Nueva Chicago - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 4. Cortes F. 2. Rodriguez J. 6. Aguirre A. 3. Nouet F. 8. Rodriguez T. 5. Mendez E. 10. Cortes B. 11. Molinas I. A. 7. Rodriguez I. 9. Maggi I.	1. Canuto G. (G) 4. Barbieri G. 2. Valdez D. 6. Silvera M. 3. Luque A. 8. Romero M. 5. Nievas B. 7. Marinucci L. 11. Jara J. 9. Amarilla J. 10. Enriquez I.
Substitutes
14. Abello D. 19. Almaraz A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 15. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 13. Motroni J. 20. Ortiz M. 17. Ortiz S. 16. Vazquez L. I.	12. Caprio N. (G) 18. Cerrudo J. 14. Fleita J. 19. Guerra Brian 17. Mateo J. 20. Romero M. S. 16. Seratto R. 15. Ubeda S. 13. Zules J.
Coaches
Lotito G.	Pancaldo R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Romero M. 🟨,
15', Silvera M. ↓, Zules J. ↑,
28', Nouet F. 🟨,
32', Valdez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Amarilla J. ↓, Romero M. S. ↑,
60', Jara J. ↓, Seratto R. ↑,
68', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
80', Cortes B. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
83', Marinucci L. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
84', Enriquez I. ↓, Guerra Brian ↑,
87', Rodriguez I. ↓, Almaraz A. ↑,
87', Molinas I. A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez T. ↓, Ortiz S. ↑,
90+2', Maggi I. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
90+3', Mateo J. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Chaco For Ever may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nueva Chicago will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.02%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Nueva Chicago - Mitre	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Nueva Chicago	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Colón	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTWT
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.07.25	Mitre - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Chaco For Ever - Colón	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Temperley - Chaco For Ever	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Chaco For Ever - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chaco For Ever	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.25	Chaco For Ever - Nueva Chicago	2:1
07.07.24	Chaco For Ever - Nueva Chicago	0:1
05.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Chaco For Ever	2:0
28.05.22	Nueva Chicago - Chaco For Ever	1:0

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