The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nueva Chicago 37%
Draw 33.5%
Mitre 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
30.7%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
30.1%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nueva Chicago's form might have worsened.
Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nueva Chicago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitre than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
71.4%
14.3%
Nueva Chicago - Mitre Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Nueva Chicago will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Mitre will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nueva Chicago (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mitre (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (C) 6. Aguirre A. 3. Arroyo D. 10. Cortes B. 4. Cortes F. 9. Maggi I. 5. Mendez E. 11. Molinas I. A. 7. Rodriguez I. 2. Rodriguez J. 8. Rodriguez T.
1. Jachfe L. (G) 5. Alessandroni J. 4. Diaz C. 9. Gallardo D. 7. Gonzalez R. 8. Kabalin M. 6. Moscarelli O. 2. Piris O. 10. Rosales S. 3. Sanchez M. 11. Valdivia G.
Substitutes
15. Abello D. 19. Almaraz A. 12. Diaz L. (G) 16. Martinez A. 18. Mendoza J. 17. Montenegro M. 14. Motroni J. 20. Nouet F. 13. Zalazar C.
14. Gonzalez E. 12. Ledesma J. (G) 15. Lujan S. 17. Machado M. 16. Oses M. 18. Rios L. 19. Romero N. 20. Salinas R. 13. Wiechniak F.
Coaches
Lotito G.
Sciacqua M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Cortes F. 🟨,
14', Gonzalez R. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
35', Alessandroni J. 🟨,
41', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Maggi I. (Pen),
45+2', Rodriguez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Mendez E. ⚽,
59', Cortes F. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
59', Rodriguez I. ↓, Nouet F. ↑,
68', Gallardo D. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
68', Diaz C. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
71', Ferrero F. 🟨,
75', Cortes B. 🟨,
80', Molinas I. A. ↓, Motroni J. ↑,
83', Alessandroni J. ↓, Lujan S. ↑,
83', Machado M. ↓, Oses M. ↑,
87', Maggi I. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
87', Cortes B. ↓, Almaraz A. ↑,
90+2', Nouet F. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 2.
Recent performances by Nueva Chicago have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mitre is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Nueva Chicago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mitre has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nueva Chicago won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.6:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Nueva Chicago won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).