Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Chacarita Juniors		Colón

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.6	Watch
	2.3	2.87	3.2
	2.21	2.9	3.55	Watch
	2.31	2.92	3.64
	2.27	2.84	3.66	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.25
	2.28	2.87	3.56
	2.21	2.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.28)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
41%

Draw
32.3%

Colón
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.3%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Chacarita Juniors - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chacarita: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chacarita (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 4. Errecalde G. 2. Rebola A. 6. Andueza F. 3. Quiroga A. 8. Ortiz T. 5. Bravo F. 7. Melendez M. 10. Blanco R. 9. Rivero H. 11. Ciccolini L.	1. Gimenez T. (G) 4. Sanchez F. 2. Ortiz G. 6. Thaller N. 3. Castet F. 8. Barreto J. 5. Forneris A. 11. Gallay T. 7. Talpone N. 9. Gigliotti E. 10. Taborda F.
Substitutes
19. Apa S. 18. Chocobar V. 16. Figueroa V. 14. Gonzalez J. 13. Migliore T. 17. Nicastro A. 15. Quiroz M. 20. Salinas R. 12. Strumia J. (G)	15. Cordoba M. 12. Diaz M. (G) 20. Fernandez N. 17. Garrido O. 13. Ibarra C. 19. Negro B. 18. Picech L. E. 14. Yunis Z.
Coaches
Azconzabal J.	Pereyra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Gigliotti E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Melendez M. ⚽,
39', Ciccolini L. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Rivero H. ⚽,
43', Rivero H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Gallay T. 🟨,
61', Melendez M. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Andueza F. ⚽,
66', Ciccolini L. ↓, Nicastro A. ↑,
66', Blanco R. ↓, Figueroa V. ↑,
69', Bravo F. 🟨,
71', Andueza F. 🟨,
72', Taborda F. 🟨,
73', Castet F. ↓, Yunis Z. ↑,
74', Barreto J. ↓, Cordoba M. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Cordoba M. ⚽,
78', Rivero H. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,

Preview

Chacarita in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Colón is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chacarita will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Chacarita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Including matches at home between the teams Chacarita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Temperley - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Chacarita Juniors - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Morón	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Chacarita Juniors	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW
- CA Colón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.04.25	Colón - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Colón	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Colón - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Colón	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Colón - Central Norte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.04.18	Chacarita Juniors - Colón	0:2

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